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Famine Looms Over Darfur as Sudan’s Conflict Intensifies

As thousands of civilians succumb to starvation in North Darfur, the United Kingdom government has issued a stark warning that the humanitarian situation is on the brink of catastrophe. The Rapid Support Forces (RSF), backed by the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), have been besieging the city of El Fasher for over a year, cutting off all trade routes and supply lines to the surrounding areas. This devastating siege has led to widespread famine, with reports indicating that hundreds of thousands of civilians are trapped in dire conditions.

The consequences of this prolonged conflict are catastrophic. According to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), over 60 people have already died from malnutrition, and rising cases of cholera exacerbate the worst effects of malnutrition. The situation is further complicated by reports of horrific violations, including alarming rates of conflict-related sexual violence, attacks on civilian infrastructure, and repeated violations of international humanitarian law.

The UK government's call to action highlights the urgent need for all parties involved in the conflict to put an end to this suffering. As Lord Collins of Highbury, Minister for Africa of the United Kingdom, stated, "Civilians must be protected, and humanitarian access must be granted." This sentiment is echoed by other European officials, including Jose Manuel Albares Bueno, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Spain, who emphasized that "accountability must be ensured."

Historical background on the conflict in Darfur dates back to 2003, when the conflict began as a rebellion against the Sudanese government. The conflict has since escalated into one of Africa's most devastating humanitarian crises, with over 2 million people displaced and thousands killed.

Key stakeholders, including the RSF and SAF, have made commitments to respect international humanitarian law and human rights during the Jeddah Declaration in May 2023. However, reports suggest that these commitments are not being fully honored, leading to further instability and violence in the region.

The international community has responded with calls for restraint and an end to the conflict. The United Nations Security Council Resolution 2736 (2024) requests that the RSF grant a humanitarian pause for rapid, safe, and unconditional access to affected areas. However, this resolution remains unfulfilled, leaving civilians trapped in dire conditions.

The situation in Darfur serves as a stark reminder of the devastating consequences of prolonged conflict and the need for collective action to protect civilians. As Åsmund Aukrust, Minister of International Development of Norway, stated, "We stand with the people of Sudan and humanitarian organisations – local and international – who are working tirelessly and under extremely challenging conditions to assist them."

The outlook for Darfur in the short term is bleak. Over the next six months, it is likely that the conflict will continue to escalate, leading to further humanitarian crises. However, long-term outcomes depend on the actions of all parties involved.

If the conflict in Darfur does not receive attention and action soon, we risk seeing widespread famine and further human suffering. The international community must come together to pressure all parties to respect civilian rights and facilitate humanitarian access. As Hadja Lahbib, European Commissioner for Equality, Preparedness and Crisis Management stated, "This cannot continue."

In conclusion, the situation in Darfur is dire, and urgent action is required to prevent further humanitarian crises. We call on all parties involved to put an end to this suffering and work towards a peaceful resolution that prioritizes the protection of civilians.

### Future Impact and Outcomes

#### Short-term (next 6 months):

The conflict in Darfur is likely to continue, leading to further humanitarian crises.
Humanitarian access remains restricted due to ongoing violence and fighting.
Civilians continue to face starvation, malnutrition, and other life-threatening conditions.

#### Long-term (5-10 years):

A lasting peace agreement must be negotiated to bring an end to the conflict in Darfur.
The international community must prioritize supporting humanitarian organizations and providing aid to affected areas.
Sudan's stability and security depend on a peaceful resolution to the conflict in Darfur.

### Conclusion

The situation in Darfur serves as a stark reminder of the devastating consequences of prolonged conflict and the need for collective action to protect civilians. The international community must come together to pressure all parties involved to respect civilian rights and facilitate humanitarian access. Only through immediate attention and action can we hope to prevent further human suffering and bring about a lasting peace in Darfur.

### Related Developments

The UNHCR has reported over 2 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan.
The International Criminal Court's Office of the Prosecutor has launched an investigation into war crimes committed in Darfur.
The European Union has pledged €100 million in humanitarian aid for Sudan.

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