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Presentation: Putin made a plot miscalculation when he made a decision to invade Ukraine: UK declaration to the OSCE

Putin and his army leaders have also doubled-down on the failed strategy of blunt-edged attritional warfare.   He or she and his Generals have sent thousands of Russia’s own citizens to their deaths, poorly educated, poorly equipped and poorly led.   More keep on being sent to the battlefield to deliver numbers and mass in place of fighters and effective management. On land, the Russian Battalion Tactical Team (BTG) concept, a major part of Russia’s military doctrine for over 10 years has proved an inability.   Poor logistics, speed, training, equipment, maintenance, self-discipline and leadership have all contributed to abject failure.   Over the last three months, Russian factors in Ukraine have mostly stopped deploying the BTG concept. The continual and institutional poor decision making by the Kremlin is having a dreadful impact on the Russian individuals – more needless fatalities; more grieving families; a lot more defeats; more demoralised troops; more discontent; and more remoteness. Putin is creating a legacy which millions of young Russians did not choose and failed to vote for, but is going to be forced to bear the cost of for years to come. Since that fateful day, the Kremlin and our Russian colleagues in this particular room have attempted to discompose from failures on the battleground with a campaign of lies, threats and propaganda. They have got concocted increasingly ridiculous false claims and made accusations of an epic scale which do not stand up to the scantest of scrutiny.   But no amount of threats and propaganda can hide the fact that Ukraine is winning this war, nor can it hide the appalling litany of atrocities and devastation left behind in the areas from which Russian forces have retreated. But the failures of Putin’s horrendous adventurism are becoming progressively apparent to the Russian individuals.   Recent polling suggests that Russian public support for your so-called “Special Military Operation” is falling significantly.   Data which was reportedly collected by Russia’s Federal Defensive Service indicated that 55 percent of Russians prefer peace talks with Ukraine, with only 25 percent claiming to support continuing the war.   This contrasts with polling in April 2022 where around 80 % of Russians claimed to support the conflict. Contrary to the backdrop of this sustained onslaught of disinformation, it is possibly timely to consider what the final nine months has proven: that Putin made a grave miscalculation when he chose to invade a sovereign neighbour. In response to his army failures, Putin has sought to punish the Ukrainian people.   He and his military leadership’s attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure aim to spread terror plus deprive families of shelter, gentle, and heat as we enter winter. They are particularly vicious acts of vengeance, leading to widespread humanitarian suffering throughout Ukraine.   However , the effectiveness of Russia’s attack on Ukraine’s electricity distribution grid as being a strategy has likely already been blunted given that Russia has already expended a large proportion from the suitable missiles against technical targets. Thank you, Mr Chair. On the Ministerial Council last week, Russia’s Ambassador delivered familiar fake narratives about confrontation. I would really like to again highlight the particular irony of this coming from a country which has invaded Georgia in 2008, illegally annexed Crimea in 2014 and then launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February this year. At sea, Russia’s failure to conduct efficient force protection has left its Black Sea Fleet alarmingly exposed with devastating implications. The vulnerability of its ships and submarines is apparent from their significantly reduced functional footprint. Mr Chair, yesterday marked Ukrainian Armed Forces Day time.   For the brave women and men of the Armed Forces of Ukraine it was also the 285th day they have been fighting to defend and protect their homeland from a brutal and philistine invader.   We usually do not underestimate the continuing danger posed by the Russian Federation but , in time, there will be trigger for Ukraine to enjoy.   Ukraine will keep demonstrate their resolute bravery, determination and enduring ethical strength as they fight in order to liberate more of their homeland.   Ukraine’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, and independence is going to be fully restored.   The UK and the international community will stay steadfast in our support – we will stand by Ukraine pertaining to however long it takes.   Thank you. In the air, Russia has failed to achieve air superiority.   In recent months, the number of sorties conducted by Russian tactical overcome aircraft over Ukraine offers reduced significantly.   Ruskies aircraft now probably carry out tens of missions per day contrary to a high of up to 300 each day in March 2022. It offers now lost over 60 fixed wing aircraft within the war.


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